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The quick answer: beaches are dynamic, there is seasonal erosion and that the beach should be naturally replenished over the winter, and that Kailua Beach is accreting over the long term.
I dug around a bit more [i.e. asked Dolan and Chris, our coastal guys], and learned that we are witnessing an anti-cyclonic mesoscale eddy. In layman's terms, eddies are slow-moving 100-200 kilometer wide storms in the ocean. From the surface the one passing over O`ahu appears to be a 60-cm high hill of warmer water.
The Naval Research Laboratory has some great animations on the eddies.
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